Analisis Kekalahan Calon Petahana dalam Pemilihan Kepala Daerah di Kabupaten Flores Timur Tahun 2024
Studi terhadap Kekalahan Antonius Hubertus Gege Hadjon di Kecamatan Adonara Timur
DOI:
https://doi.org/10.62383/terang.v2i4.1483Keywords:
Consolidation, Defeat, East Flores Pilkada, Incumbent, Public SentimentAbstract
This study is titled Analysis of the Incumbent's Defeat in the 2024 Regional Head Election in East Flores Regency (A Study of Antonius Hubertus Gege Hadjon's Defeat in East Adonara District), with the aim of analyzing the factors that led to the defeat of incumbent Antonius Hubertus Gege Hadjon in the 2024 Pilkada. This study uses Pierre Bourdieu’s political modality theory, including political, social, economic, and cultural capital. A qualitative approach with a descriptive method is employed, and data is collected through interviews with subjects consisting of the incumbent candidate, a religious leader, a youth leader, a community leader, two party representatives, and the success team. The study focuses on the support base in East Adonara District. The results of the study indicate that the incumbent's defeat was caused by the weakening of political capital, especially due to the vacancy in the regent’s position for two and a half years, which strengthened the opponent's position. This caused stagnation in public services and a decrease in the intensity of local government communication. In addition to these structural factors, weak internal party consolidation and public sentiment about uneven development also contributed to the defeat, indicating the incumbent's failure to manage his political capital amidst the dynamics of governance.
Downloads
References
Aspinall, E. (2014). From opposition to rivalry: The politics of local elections in Indonesia. Journal of Southeast Asian Economies, 31(3), 443-460.
Badan Pusat Statistik (BPS) Flores Timur. (2024). Jumlah penduduk dan statistik kesejahteraan Kabupaten Flores Timur Tahun 2023.
Bourdieu, P. (1986). The forms of capital (J. G. Richardson, Ed.). Greenwood Press.
Budiardjo, M. (2008). Dasar-dasar ilmu politik (Edisi revisi). Gramedia Pustaka Utama.
Detik.com. (2024, March 20). Profil singkat pejabat bupati Flores Timur masa jabatan 2022-2024.
Dewanti, M., Al-Hamdi, R., & Efendi, D. (2022). Kekalahan petahana pada pemilihan umum 2019: Studi kasus calon legislatif Partai Kebangkitan Bangsa. Jurnal Politik Profetik, 10(1), 1-18. https://doi.org/10.24252/profetik.v10i1a2
Hamdi, A. Z. (2018). Kinerja dan sentimen publik sebagai penentu kekalahan petahana dalam pemilihan kepala daerah. Jurnal Ilmu Sosial dan Ilmu Politik (JSP), 22(1), 1-15.
Huntington, S. P. (1991). Gelombang demokrasi ketiga. Pustaka Utama Grafiti.
Komisi Pemilihan Umum (KPU) Flores Timur. (2017). Data rekapitulasi hasil penghitungan suara Pilkada Flores Timur Tahun 2017.
Kusuma, N., & Santoso, H. (2020). Analisis kegagalan petahana dalam pilkada: Tinjauan teori incumbency advantage dan disadvantage. Jurnal Ilmu Pemerintahan dan Politik, 5(2), 110-125.
Lodo, A. B. (2023). Dinamika politik kepulauan: Studi kekuatan jaringan elite lokal dalam Pilkada Kabupaten Sikka [Tesis]. Program Pascasarjana, Universitas Gadjah Mada, Yogyakarta.
Mulik, Y. I. (n.d.). Analisis kekalahan petahana pada Pemilukada: Studi kasus kekalahan Paket SAHABAT di Pemilukada Kabupaten Belu Tahun 2020 [Skripsi]. Universitas Nusa Cendana Kupang.
Prakosa, F. F. (2019). Analisis kekalahan petahana DPRD Klaten Bondan Zakaria dalam pemilihan legislatif Kabupaten Klaten tahun 2019 [Skripsi]. Fakultas Ilmu Sosial dan Ilmu Politik, Universitas Diponegoro, Semarang.
Pribadi, Y. A. (2021). Modal sosial dan jaringan kekerabatan dalam pertarungan politik lokal. Jurnal Komunitas, 13(3), 390-405.
Tirto.id. (2024, February 15). Ancaman kekalahan petahana: Analisis kegagalan mengelola isu lokal.
Wiandi, J. (n.d.). Analisis kekalahan petahana: Studi kekalahan Basuki Tjahaja Purnama - Djarot Saiful Hidayat pada Pilkada DKI Jakarta tahun 2017 [Skripsi]. Universitas Islam Negeri Syarif Hidayatullah Jakarta.
Downloads
Published
How to Cite
Issue
Section
License
Copyright (c) 2025 Terang : Jurnal Kajian Ilmu Sosial, Politik dan Hukum

This work is licensed under a Creative Commons Attribution-ShareAlike 4.0 International License.


